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Ripple (XRP) edges closer to a breakout, trading around the critical $3.00 level on Thursday. The release of the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) data has triggered a spike in volatility in the broader cryptocurrency market, as investors focus on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate decision anticipated next week. US inflation increases as focus remains on the Fed US consumer prices increased 0.4% MoM in August after rising 0.2% in July, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. On an annual basis, the CPI increased 2.9%, up from 2.7% posted in July. This was the highest reading since January, underscoring the impact of US President Donald Trump’s higher tariffs. The Core CPI, which accounts for all consumer items excluding the volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.3% in August, matching the increase in July. On an annual basis, the Core CPI rose 3.1%. US CPI data Fed officials pay close attention to the Core CPI to better gauge long-term trends. All eyes are now on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which is expected to release its decision on interest rates next Wednesday. Following the CPI report, expectations of a September 0.25 percentage point interest rate cut to the range of 4.00% to 4.25% dipped slightly from around 91% on Wednesday to 88.7% at the time of writing on Thursday, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool. Meanwhile, retail interest in $XRP remains relatively high compared to last week. CoinGlass data shows the XRP futures Open Interest (OI) averaging $8.15 billion on Thursday, up from $7.37 billion on Sunday. The rising OI trend suggests that investors have a strong conviction in XRP’s ability to sustain its recovery to the record high of $3.66 reached on July 18. Technical outlook: XRP$ upholds bullish case ahead of breakout XRP holds around the $3.00 pivotal level as traders quickly scope up short-term dips toward the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2.91. Still, upside movement lacks the catalyst to extend the up leg toward the next hurdle at $3.35, which was previously tested in mid-August. Despite the lack of a strong tailwind to drive XRP’s next recovery phase, its bullish case remains intact, buoyed by a buy signal maintained by the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator since Monday. Traders tend to increase their exposure with the MACD line in blue holding above the red signal line. The steady upward movement in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 54 indicates bullish momentum as selling pressure declines. XRP/USDT daily chart Higher RSI readings, approaching overbought territory, would underpin the steady increase in buying pressure backing retail demand for XRP. Still, traders should be cautious and watch out for sustained pullbacks below the 50-day EMA support at $2.91.

U.S. CPI $ROSE a Faster-Than-Expected 0.4% in August; Core Rate in Line

August CPI did little to get crypto moving, leaving big players like Bitcoin stuck in neutral. With the Fed’s next call on rates just around the corner, the market’s collective shrug feels less like uncertainty and more like a deliberate holding pattern. The numbers from the Bureau of Labor Statistics on September 11th showed the Consumer Price Index climbing to a 2.9% annual rate, edging up from July’s 2.7% on the back of persistent energy and grocery bills. Meanwhile, the core CPI reading, which strips out those unpredictable food and energy costs, held firm at 3.1%. The data landed against a complex backdrop of rising jobless claims and revised payroll numbers that painted a murkier picture of the underlying economy. For crypto traders, the latest CPI report did not appear to be a main event. Risk markets treated its arrival as the final piece of macroeconomic scenery set before next week’s true headliner: the Federal Open Market Committee’s policy decision. Crypto’s muted response to CPI report underscores broader caution The total crypto market cap edged up 0.18% to $3.96 trillion, yet the move concealed a lack of conviction beneath the surface. Bitcoin ( $BTC ) , with Ethereum ( $ETH ) and Ripple ( $XRP )sliding more than 0.5% each over the past 24 hours, according to data. Sentiment indicators added further nuance. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index held firm at a “Neutral” 47 following the data drop. This reading is more telling than a dramatic swing. It signifies a market consciously withholding its emotional response, unwilling to commit fully to risk until monetary policy becomes clearer. The index has been anchored in this neutral territory all week, barely budging from 43 yesterday and 44 last week. This stability is a stark contrast to the “Greed” mode of 62 seen just last month and the “Extreme Greed” of 88 that marked the yearly high. What’s next ? August’s CPI report presented the Fed with a thornier challenge. Shelter costs climbed 0.4% on the month as food prices rose 0.5%, with grocery staples like beef and produce leading gains. Gasoline jumped 1.9% after recent declines. This crosscurrent is shaping rate expectations heading into the September 17–18 Federal Open Market Committee meeting. Markets now assign an 88% chance of a quarter-point cut and an 11% probability of a deeper half-point move, according to CME FedWatch. By year-end, traders are still betting on a cumulative 75 basis points of easing. The softer labor backdrop has pushed some to price in more aggressive action, even as inflation data tempers enthusiasm.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) retreated more than 30 points in the short term, while spot gold $ROSE $10 in the short term.