Chiliz 價格CHZ

When the price falls below the cost basis level of Short-Term Holders, a discount effect is activated in the market - coins become cheaper than their average price and a real incentive to buy appears. $BTC $ETH $SNT $LINK $LRC $ZRX $AAVE $YFI $DOGE $CHZ

What if the denominator is truly worthless? (for the next years) 1 - USD macro trend shift? 2 - Bitcoin effect? 3 - How I'm playing it The dollar has been range-bound since 1986, basically trading from one extreme to the other, deviating above or below, and then moving to the other side of the range. Simple range facts: > When an asset is ranging, the highest probability is for more ranging > A deviation and return inside the range increases the probability of moving to the other side > Acceptance inside (lower low after a top deviation, or higher high after a bottom deviation) makes it even more probable As you can see in the chart above, a down or uptrend historically took 5-10 years. Bitcoin was born at the bottom deviation and grew from $0 to $120,000 during the dollar’s 10-year uptrend. In this environment, the 4-year cycles took shape with the familiar bull and bear markets. We formed our bull markets when the dollar paused its uptrend and went for a higher low. Once the dollar pushed higher again, it triggered our bear markets. But what if the dollar now heads into a 5-to 10-year-long downtrend? I genuinely believe that, based on this chart, my higher time frame bias for the dollar is down towards the lows because: > The dollar has been range-bound, so I expect more ranging, and we’re currently at the highs. > A deviation has formed. > Bearish market structure is showing back inside (acceptance) The tricky part is that this is a higher time frame range. But if we forget the time frame for a second, perfectly normal range price action could be: > An instant drop > Or, like at the bottom (when Bitcoin was born), extended ranging, which, on this time frame, could feel like forever. We even revisited the lows again at the bottom. If that happens in this case before breaking down, it could keep us in our familiar 4-year structure a little longer. For me, the macro outlook on the dollar suggests we may enter (on the macro) a new paradigm where the 4-year Bitcoin cycle changes. The 4-year cycle was formed in an environment where: > The dollar was trending up on higher time frames > Bull and bear periods were shaped by the short breaks the dollar took in its uptrend If the dollar starts trending down on the macro, it would mean: > A weaker dollar and a broader downtrend > Dollar longer downtrends vs the other way around, longer uptrends. > More aggressive up periods we’ve known Before, when the dollar had strong up periods, it meant deep bear markets for us. When the dollar had short consolidation periods, it meant bull markets for us. Now it changes: we’ll still see those same consolidation periods, but instead of a strong dollar up move sending us deep into a bear, we could get a strong dollar down move fueling us higher. If that happens, it only makes sense that the 4-year cycle changes into: > Longer and more aggressive bull markets > Shorter and more tempered bear markets Bitcoin has never experienced a macro dollar downtrend, but gold has. The last time the dollar deviated at the top of the range and trended down to the low, it sent gold into a 3,800-day supercycle, moving from $250 to $1,800. Pretty poetic that at the dollar deviation we had: USD > Debt explosion > Historic money printing (40% of supply created at the deviation). CRYPTO – Presidents and countries openly backing crypto – The US is adopting it at rocket speed – Spot ETFs are now tradable – Institutions and public companies pouring in billions #CryptoUncle $BTC $ETH $LTC $BCH $AAVE $DOGE $CHZ $RLC $OGN $CAKE

Dips Happen: Bitcoin Weakness Mirrors Previous Cycles “Bitcoin showed notable price weakness beginning around 480 days after the Halving. If the pattern holds, the current pullback may last another 2–4 weeks, with history suggesting a recovery and acceleration to new highs by around Day 510.” $BTC $ETH $LINK $TRX $UNI $SUSHI $XRP $CHZ $DOGE $BNB

The sentiment index on the futures market has cooled to 36% below the neutral zone. After the spikes on August 11-14, when the metric briefly moved to 70% on price jumps to 123K. Currently, the price is holding at 115K, while the index momentum is declining: within the index composition, sellers predominate in the short-term moment (negative net-taker and volume-delta) with neutral open interest. This means the market has transitioned from euphoria at the high to a range-trading phase. Such a profile means that while the index remains below 45-50%, bounces will likely be sold and the price tends to fluctuate in a narrow corridor. The persistence of index depression during weak bounces increases the risk of testing 112K. The key trigger of the week is Powell's speech on Friday at Jackson Hole (Economic Outlook and Framework Review), which could set the vector for future sentiment. $BTC $OMG $GTC $TRX $MANA $ENJ $XRP $AAVE $DOGE $CHZ

From Sideline to Center Stage: $IN in a Bull Market In the volatile world of cryptocurrency, a bull market can transform a struggling asset into a star performer. For the Inter Milan Fan Token ($IN), a fan token with a unique position at the intersection of sports and crypto, a bull market is a crucial period where its true potential can be unlocked. This article will analyze the dynamics of $IN during a bull market, examining the key data points and catalysts that drive its price, and providing a forward-looking perspective. The Bullish Turn: A Rebound from the Lows The price history of $IN provides a clear context for its potential during a bull market. The token reached an all-time high of over $13.00, a level fueled by initial excitement and the broader crypto bull run of late 2021. Following this peak, $IN, like many other cryptocurrencies, entered a prolonged bear market, with its price plummeting to an all-time low of approximately $0.47 in June 2025. However, recent data suggests a significant shift in momentum. The price of $IN has rebounded from these lows, now trading around $0.60. This reversal, while not a return to its all-time high, is a powerful indicator that the bearish trend has ended and a new, more bullish phase may be beginning. Key Catalysts for a Bull Market in $IN The price of a fan token is driven by a unique set of factors that extend beyond the general crypto market. In a bull market, these catalysts can work in concert to create a powerful upward trend for $IN. * Club Success: One of the most significant drivers of fan token prices is the success of the associated sports club. Research suggests a positive relationship between fan token prices and club success, particularly in major competitions like the UEFA Champions League. A strong performance by Inter Milan in key domestic or European matches could create positive sentiment and drive up the price of $IN. * The Broader Crypto Bull Run: While club success is a factor, fan tokens are still highly correlated with the performance of the broader crypto market, especially with the price of Chiliz ($CHZ), the token on which many fan tokens are built. An "altcoin season" where mid-cap altcoins see a surge in retail and institutional interest would create a tailwind for $IN. * Retail Investor FOMO (Fear of Missing Out): A major bull run is often fueled by a surge in retail investor interest. As the price of $IN begins to rise, news coverage and social media buzz can attract new buyers, creating a snowball effect that pushes the price even higher. * Increased Utility and Ecosystem Expansion: The value of $IN is also tied to its utility within the Socios.com platform. As the ecosystem expands, with more fan-centric features and exclusive rewards, the token's demand can increase, providing a fundamental basis for its price appreciation. The Outlook: Potential for a Strong Rebound While the price of $IN is a fraction of its all-time high, the recent rebound from its all-time low, combined with the potential for these catalysts to align, paints a compelling picture for its performance in a bull market. The token's market capitalization of around $6.08 million, while still relatively small, provides a lot of room for growth. A new bull market for $IN would not only be a reward for its loyal holders but also a testament to the growing legitimacy of fan tokens as a tool for sports engagement and investment. As the crypto market matures and the intersection of sports and digital assets becomes more mainstream, a bull market for $IN could see the token return to its former highs and potentially even beyond.