Ethereum Updates: Institutions Bet on ADA as ETH Faces $20,000 Barrier; Market Share May Fuel Growth

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Ethereum Updates: Institutions Bet on ADA as ETH Faces $20,000 Barrier; Market Share May Fuel Growth

Bitget-RWA2025/10/26 20:28

By:Bitget-RWA

- Cardano (ADA) fell 23.4% YTD amid crypto declines, but AI models predict a rebound if Ethereum (ETH) hits $20,000. - ADA's 4.9% share of ETH's market cap could drive prices to $3.28 or $6.69 under different adoption scenarios. - Institutional ETF filings and Cardano's Hydra protocol highlight growth potential, though ETH remains below $4,000 with bearish indicators. - ADA faces critical support at $0.65, while ETH ETF inflows in Hong Kong suggest regulatory momentum could stabilize its trajectory.

Cardano (ADA) has faced challenges amid the wider downturn in the cryptocurrency market, falling 23.4% so far this year and dropping 4.71% in the last day, according to

The Crypto Basic

. Despite this lackluster performance, both analysts and AI-driven forecasts believe

ADA

could experience a significant rally if

Ethereum

(ETH) climbs to $20,000—a scenario gaining traction as institutional interest in these assets grows.

The increasing correlation between ADA and

ETH

has fueled positive sentiment among investors. Over the last year, Ethereum has risen 43.26%, outstripping Cardano’s 75% increase, and both have shown similar short-term declines, as reported by The Crypto Basic. Market experts, such as Ted Pillows, suggest that Ethereum’s price could reach $20,000 if it tracks global money supply trends, according to The Crypto Basic. Should this happen, Cardano’s value could jump, based on its present 4.9% proportion of Ethereum’s market capitalization.

ChatGPT-based forecasts outline three possible outcomes for ADA:

- : If ADA’s share drops to 2% of Ethereum’s projected $2.4 trillion market cap, its price would be $1.33.

- : Keeping its 4.9% share would push ADA to $3.28, setting a new record high.

- : If ADA achieves 10% of Ethereum’s market cap, its price could reach $6.69.

Institutional involvement is a major driver. Grayscale and Turtle Capital have submitted applications for

Cardano

ETFs, reflecting increased institutional demand, The Crypto Basic notes. Meanwhile, Ethereum ETFs have shown mixed results. Recent withdrawals—$101.29 million from

Bitcoin

ETFs and $18.77 million from Ethereum—demonstrate market caution, according to a

Crypto.News report

. However, Hong Kong’s approval of its first Ethereum ETF and $141.66 million in inflows, as detailed in a

TradingView report

, indicate that regulatory progress could help steady ETH’s path.

Cardano’s technical progress, such as the Hydra layer-2 solution and its energy-saving Ouroboros consensus, also support its growth prospects, according to a

OneSafe blog post

. These upgrades are designed to improve scalability and attract more developers, which could boost ADA’s usage and demand.

Despite the optimistic projections, there are still risks. Ethereum’s price remains under $4,000, and technical signals point to bearish trends, according to a

Crypto.News analysis

. A sustained move above $4,400–$4,500 is needed for further upward momentum. For Cardano, surpassing $0.65 is crucial to prevent additional losses, as highlighted in a

Digital Journal piece

The relationship between ADA and ETH highlights the interconnectedness of the crypto sector. While Ethereum’s future performance remains uncertain, Cardano’s ability to exceed its current market share expectations illustrates the market’s volatility. Investors should keep an eye on institutional moves, regulatory changes, and broader economic factors that could impact both tokens.

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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