Matr1xの‌価格MAX

$3,360,000,000 in $BTC options will expire tomorrow. Max pain: $113,000 $850,000,000 in $ETH options will expire tomorrow. Max Pain: $4,400 Historically, prices tend to move closer to max pain during options expiration. Expect some volatility.

$TRADOOR appears to be sitting on a decision zone after a strong initial run — price carved a rising channel and is now testing mid-channel support. If hourly follow-through and tape confirm, the next leg can run; if not, a quick return toward lower support is likely. Below is a direct, copy-ready trade note using the wedge/decision structure you provided — explicit levels, clear triggers, and practical execution rules. Why this is decisive (structure + market facts) • Rising-channel resolution — price ran into a band of overhead supply and has compressed into the mid-channel. A clean breakout above the channel top removes the local cap; a breakdown below mid-channel support exposes deeper demand zones. Bitget +1 • Supply profile & float — circulating float is limited relative to total supply (circulating ~14.35M of 60M max), meaning early unlocks or large holder moves can quickly shift available liquidity. Monitor announced unlock schedules. CoinMarketCap +1 • Volume context — the strongest volume printed on the initial impulse; subsequent push legs show tapering volume, which raises the importance of a renewed volume pick-up to validate any breakout. Bitget Exchange Top indicators to watch — quick rules (use 3–4 for confirmation) • Volume / OBV — primary confirmation. Reject breakouts without rising volume. • VWAP (session) — sustained trades above VWAP favor intraday longs. • DEMA/EMA ribbon — ribbon expansion confirms trend; clustered EMAs indicate indecision. • ATR (14) — low ATR during the coil; ATR expansion validates breakout size. • RSI / MACD — use for momentum confirmation and spotting early divergence. Concrete levels (decisive lines) • Immediate pivot / mid-channel support: ~2.05 – 2.10 (watch price action and hourly closes). • Channel top / near-term resistance: ~2.30 – 2.38 (overhead liquidity). • First upside objectives: 2.50 → 2.60 (measured on clean breakout). • Deeper defensive support: ~1.75 – 1.80. • Structural floor if sellers dominate: ~1.60 (secondary buyer shelf). (Use these bands for entries, stops, and partial trims.) Two clean scenarios — exact triggers and conditions Bull Breakout (validated) • Trigger: hourly close above the channel top (~2.38) with rising volume. • Confirm: Volume > 20-hr average or OBV trending up; VWAP above price; EMA ribbon expanding. • Targets: T1 = 2.50 → T2 = 2.60; stretch toward 2.80 if momentum holds. • Stop: below breakout candle low or −1.5× ATR on failed retest. Bear Breakdown (validated) • Trigger: decisive hourly close below mid-channel support (~2.05–2.00) with accelerating sell volume. • Confirm: OBV falling, ATR expanding, RSI slipping toward 30s. • Targets: 1.75–1.80 first, then 1.60 if selling continues. • Stop: above breakdown wick or recent local swing highs. Execution tactics (practical) • Keep initial size small inside the channel; avoid full exposure pre-confirmation. • Prefer limit entries on retests (buy the retest rather than chasing breakout candles). • Ladder exits: take partial at the first target, trail remainder with a 1×ATR stop. • If exchange promotions or sudden reward liquidity appear, widen stops or reduce size — those events often create whipsaws. • Cross-check cross-exchange candles and VWAP to filter exchange-specific noise. Indicator combo examples • Conservative: Volume spike + hourly close above channel + MACD crossover → enter on retest. • Aggressive: Partial entry at breakout close; add on successful retest if VWAP holds and OBV rises. • Scalp: Stoch-RSI + VWAP intraday inside pattern; tiny stops and ATR-based quick targets. Risk & market micro notes • Watch orderbook depth — thin books can be pushed by concentrated sell walls or single-wallet moves. • Campaign-driven volume or exchange-specific promos can be noisy — require cross-exchange confirmation for conviction. • Size relative to visible liquidity; avoid single large market buys in shallow books. Quick checklist before any trade • Hourly close confirms breakout / breakdown. • Volume > 20-hr average or OBV confirmation. • VWAP aligns with chosen direction. • ATR expands enough to justify move size. • Orderbook shows fillable liquidity at planned execution levels. Bottom line $TRADOOR sits at a clear short-term inflection: validated volume and an hourly close above the channel top (~2.38) would open a measured run toward 2.50 → 2.60 (+ stretch). Failure to hold mid-channel support (~2.05) on rising sell volume would open a slide toward 1.75 → 1.60. Trade confirmed signals rather than guesses: example plan — take 50% on a validated breakout and add 50% on a successful retest; risk no more than 1–2% of capital on a full position and trail the remainder with 1×ATR.

⚡️ $TRADOOR/USDT Price Action Update – September 11, 2025 Current Price: $2.1213 Timeframe: 4H | Market Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish Compression Trend Structure: Higher Lows on Ascending Base | EMA Cluster Support 🔹 TL;DR $TRADOOR continues consolidating within a tight ascending wedge after its explosive Bitget listing run. Price currently hovers around $2.12 with visible support from the EMA cluster and diagonal trendline. Liquidity remains stacked just overhead, with a critical breakout trigger above $2.395. Until then, price action favors either dip buys into the $2.128–$2.132 region or high-volume breakouts. 🧠 Chart Structure Breakdown $TRADOOR has maintained bullish structure post-listing, with a series of higher lows and a tightening price range. Local high at $2.5531 remains intact. Current range: $2.0100 (24h low) to $2.3600 (24h high) A clean ascending trendline is supporting price since the $1.2603 base. Price is currently squeezing between short EMAs and the upper diagonal boundary, hinting at an imminent directional move. Key Zones: Type Price Zone Significance Buy Zone $2.128 – $2.132 Support + EMA(5) cluster Invalidation $2.111 Structural break level Resistance 1 $2.395 Local high + breakout trigger Resistance 2 $2.448 Target 1 Resistance 3 $2.528 – $2.556 Extended bullish target 📉 Momentum Metrics EMA(5/10/20): Price hugging short EMAs = market equilibrium. MACD Histogram: Losing strength, but no bearish crossover yet. Volume: Fading gradually since the listing pump, which is normal during pre-breakout compression. RSI: ~55 on 4H – mildly bullish, not overbought. 🔍 Trade Setups (Refined) 🟢 Setup A: High-Momentum Breakout Trigger: Hourly close above $2.395 with volume ≥ 20H average Entry: Ladder $2.396–$2.402 on retest Stop: ~1.5× ATR below entry (e.g. 0.026 ATR → Stop at $2.370) Targets: T1: $2.448 (initial breakout zone) T2: $2.480–$2.528 (scale area) T3: $2.556 (stretch goal) 🟡 Setup B: Retest Entry (Safe Plan) Condition: Wick into $2.128–$2.132 zone with buyer defense Entry: Mid-band entry at $2.130 Stop: Close < $2.111 Targets: First: $2.395 Then: $2.448 (trim), $2.480 (scale) 🔴 Setup C: Breakdown / Defensive Trigger: Hourly close < $2.111 on high volume Action: Exit all longs; short on retest (optional) Targets: $2.080 → $2.050 Stop: Above $2.180 📌 Volume, VWAP, Orderbook Checklist Factor Bullish Bearish VWAP Position Price above = ✅ Below = ⚠️ Volume vs 20H Avg Breakout = ✅ Weak = ❌ Orderbook Thin above $2.395 = ✅ Large sell wall = ❌ OBV Trend Higher OBV = ✅ Flattening = ⚠️ 🪙 Tokenomics Snapshot Circulating Supply: ~14.35M Max Supply: 60M FDV: $127.2M at $2.12 Unlock Watch: Only ~24% circulating. Vesting = major risk. Holder Concentration: High → whale-driven volatility likely. ⚠️ If any large wallets send to Bitget, expect immediate sell pressure. 🔬 On-Chain Behavior (What to Monitor) Exchange Flows: Sudden inflows to Bitget = bearish → monitor wallet tracking tools. Whale Wallets: Use block explorers to trace top 10 wallets. Campaign Unlocks: Check for Bitget airdrop/trade reward vesting windows. 📢 If team/treasury wallets move to exchanges, stand down or reduce positions. 📣 Sentiment Pulse Social Buzz: High due to recent listing + $12K rewards campaign Community Chatter: Positive, but watch for overexposure → spikes in hype without matching volume is dangerous. Retail Entry: Incoming users = volatility + FOMO wicks. 🔎 Use Twitter/X, Telegram groups, and TradingView ideas sentiment for edge. 📊 Microstructure Insights Orderbook Thinness: Thin above $2.395 → makes for high-wick breakouts Slippage Risk: High → always split orders Spread: Normal for Bitget; DEX pairs may be wider. Execution Tip: Use laddered limit buys for both breakout and support setups. 🔐 Risk Management Matrix Risk Profile Max Account Risk Stop Strategy Conservative 0.5–1% Hard stop below structure Moderate 1–1.5% ATR-based stop Aggressive 2% max Scale out faster at targets Always use: ✅ Partial take-profits (T1 = 20–40% trim) ✅ Stop move to breakeven post-T1 ✅ Avoid re-entry until setup fully confirms again 🧭 Forward Scenarios Scenario What to Watch Bullish Expansion Break >$2.395 with >75K volume → rally to $2.528+ Baseline Range Rangebound $2.128–$2.395 → best for dip buys Bear Slide Break < $2.111 → drop to $2.080, $2.050 with weak recovery 🎯 Final Take $TRADOOR/USDT is a high-volatility, low-cap name fueled by recent listing momentum. While early adopters may still benefit from breakout and retest plays, risks are non-trivial due to whale control, thin liquidity, and rapid sentiment shifts. Trade the structure, not the hype. 🟩 Retest Play (Safer): Buy wick into $2.128–$2.132 → stop under $2.111 → target $2.395 → $2.448. 🟥 Breakout Play (Aggressive): Reclaim $2.395 with >20hr avg volume → enter $2.396–$2.402 → target $2.528. ⚠️ Breakdown (Exit or Short): Hourly close < $2.111 = bearish shift → target $2.080. $TRADOOR

📊 $TRADOOR/USDT Technical Analysis – September 11, 2025 Current Price: $2.1213 (+0.54%) Timeframe: 4H 24h Range: $2.0100 – $2.3600 Volume: 487.5K TRADOOR (Spot) EMA Levels: EMA(5) – $2.1281 | EMA(10) – $2.0735 | EMA(20) – $1.9407 🔍 Market Structure Overview $TRADOOR is currently consolidating above its recent ascending support trendline following the volatile price expansion triggered by the Bitget listing and associated campaign activity. After bottoming out at $1.2603, price rallied significantly to a local high of $2.5531, forming a parabolic leg followed by consolidation into a high-base structure. On the 4H chart, price is tightly compressed between the EMA(5) and EMA(10) with minor rejection near the psychological zone of $2.12–$2.13, which forms the key buy band (green shelf) in this current setup. Key Structural Levels: Type Level Description Support $2.111 Structural invalidation (breakdown) Support $2.128–$2.132 Entry band for safer buys Resistance $2.395 First major liquidity block Resistance $2.448 Second liquidity stack Resistance $2.556 Post-listing high target Support $2.010 24h low; last defense zone 📈 Trend Indicators and Volume EMA Ribbon: Price is supported by the short EMA cluster (5/10/20), showing a neutral-to-bullish alignment. EMA(5) is slightly above price, indicating compression but not rejection. MACD (12,26,9): MACD Line: 0.0305 Signal Line: 0.1496 Histogram is contracting, suggesting a cool-off in bullish momentum. Volume Profile: 4H volume has declined post-spike, aligning with consolidation. Need >20-hour average volume (~70K+) for breakout confirmation. 📌 Trade Plans & Scenarios ✅ Scenario A: Aggressive Momentum Breakout Condition: Hourly close > $2.395 with volume ≥ 20-hr average Entry Ladder: $2.396–$2.402 on confirmed retest Stop Loss: 1.5× ATR(14) below entry (get value from TradingView; assume ATR = 0.017 → Stop ≈ $2.370) Targets: T1: $2.448 → Trim 20–40% T2: $2.480–$2.528 → Scale out T3 (stretch): $2.556 → Final resistance, reduce risk exposure 📉 Scenario B: Safe Retest Entry Condition: Wick and buy-spike inside $2.128–$2.132 (green band) Entry Ladder: Around $2.130 Stop: Close below $2.111 (hard structural invalidation) Targets: Primary: $2.395 Extended: $2.448, then watch price action for breakout continuation Consider breakeven stop once price closes > $2.395 ⚠️ Scenario C: Defensive / Short Bias (Bear Break) Condition: Hourly close < $2.111 with rising sell volume Action: Exit longs; open small-sized short if structure breaks cleanly Targets: T1: $2.080 T2: $2.050 Stop: Above $2.180 (reclaim of broken structure) ✅ Pre-Trade Checklist (Pass/Fail Criteria) Checkpoint Criteria ✅ Hourly candle close confirms setup Required for breakout/retest plays ✅ Volume ≥ 20H average Around 70–75K TRADOOR ✅ Price > VWAP (for longs) Sign of positive flow ✅ EMA ribbon alignment Prefer short EMAs above long EMAs ✅ Orderbook: No whale sell walls at $2.395 Thin book = easy wicks ✅ No large exchange inflow (whale sell risk) Watch explorer or Bitget flows ✅ Bitget news / campaign updates Listings can trigger large moves both ways 🔢 Risk Management: Position Sizing Examples Account Size: $10,000 Risk Per Trade: 1% = $100 🔹 Momentum Example Entry: $2.400 Stop: $2.374 Risk Distance: $0.026 Size: 100 ÷ 0.026 = ~3,846 TRADOOR Entry Cost: 3,846 × $2.400 = ~$9,230 🔹 Retest Example Entry: $2.130 Stop: $2.111 Distance: $0.019 Size: 100 ÷ 0.019 = ~5,263 TRADOOR Entry Cost: 5,263 × $2.130 = ~$11,210 👉 Always round position size to whole tokens and check exchange limits. Use laddering for entries to reduce slippage risk. 🔍 Tokenomics & Supply Considerations Circulating Supply: ~14.35M TRADOOR Max Supply: 60M → FDV = $2.12 × 60M = $127.2M Unlocked %: Only ~23.9% in circulation — WATCH for future unlocks Concentration: High — limited public distribution so far, meaning whales control large chunks. If they sell, price may fall fast. 🔎 Watch: Vesting schedules Team/treasury wallets Large exchange deposits (early unlock selloff) Use Etherscan/BSCScan depending on contract chain. 🌐 Exchange & On-Chain Flows Bitget Campaign: $12,000 TRADOOR campaign → short-term buyer interest CEX listing = short-term speculation spike Watch for: Wallet inflows to Bitget = bearish Wallet outflows = accumulation 💡 Tip: Use tools like Arkham, Nansen, or Dexscreener to track wallet behavior. 📉 Market Sentiment High community engagement due to recent listing Social volume spike on Twitter and Telegram Watch sentiment divergence: if social chatter increases but price doesn’t, that’s often exit liquidity forming. 📊 Microstructure & Execution Notes Orderbook: Thin liquidity above $2.395 → high wick risk Avoid market buys above resistance Split entries: ladder into plays to reduce slippage Monitor spreads if trading on DEX pairs (wide spreads = high entry cost) 🧠 Extended Timeframe Scenarios Scenario Description Bullish Expansion Reclaim $2.395 → push to $2.448–$2.556 Range Base Consolidation between $2.128–$2.395 with reentry setups Breakdown Close < $2.111 → slide to $2.080, then $2.050 or lower 📌 Summary $TRADOOR/USDT remains a speculative low-cap trade with upside potential if momentum builds, but with clear risks tied to thin orderbooks, concentrated token holders, and short-term listing hype. Your priority is risk control via strict stop-loss placement and precise sizing. 🟩 Safer Plan Wait for buy wick into $2.128–$2.132 with confirmation; enter with stop below $2.111. 🔺 Aggressive Plan Breakout reclaim above $2.395 with strong volume → ladder entries $2.396–$2.402. 🟥 Risk Plan Structure fails if price closes hourly < $2.111 → exit longs; potential light short. $TRADOOR