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$XRP XRP Long vs. Short Decision: Strategic Recommendation 🎯 Current Market Snapshot (2025-12-17 03:42 UTC+8, Wednesday) Price: $1.9221 | 24h Change: +0.97% | Volume: $51.80M Technical Setup: Consolidation near key support ($1.8880); MACD bullish crossover on 1-hour; RSI neutral (52.6 on 1h) Sentiment: Mixed—institutional ETF inflows ($1B+) vs. bearish fund flows (net outflow -$1.45M in 24h) --- Recommendation: GO LONG with Disciplined Risk Management 📈 Why Long is the Higher-Probability Trade 1. Institutional Accumulation Signals XRP spot ETFs surpassed $1 billion in under four weeks, reflecting strong institutional confidence ETF inflows totaling $935M–$1.12B demonstrate sustained buying pressure from American investors Ripple's ecosystem expansion ($1.3B in Ripple USD assets, four major acquisitions in 2025) supports fundamental demand 2. Technical Structure Favors Upside 1-hour MACD: Bullish crossover with positive histogram (0.0125), signaling momentum shift Support Zone: $1.8880 (21-month EMA) remains intact; price holding above this level is critical Resistance Breakout: Break above $2.00 could trigger acceleration toward $2.40–$2.73 (analyst targets) Consolidation Pattern: XRP is "being squeezed" between $2.03–$2.16, not dumping—compression often precedes strong moves 3. News Catalyst Alignment Analyst EGRAG Crypto projects bullish 3–6 month outlook with potential $9.50 target if momentum rebuilds Ripple's conditional approval for national trust bank charter adds regulatory tailwind DeepSeek AI forecasts depend on SEC lawsuit resolution (August 2025), but current trajectory is constructive --- Trade Structure: Conservative Mean Reversion + Breakout Upside Primary Setup (Conservative) Entry: $1.88–$1.89 (support zone) Target: $1.95–$2.00 (first resistance) Stop Loss: $1.85 (below 21-month EMA) Risk/Reward: 1:1.5–1:2.0 (favorable) Aggressive Setup (Breakout) Entry: Above $2.00 (confirmed breakout) Target: $2.40–$2.73 (analyst consensus) Stop Loss: $1.97 (recent support) --- Why NOT Short Right Now ⚠️ Bearish fund flows (-$67.7M in 1h) are concerning but insufficient to override institutional accumulation Downside risk only materializes if price breaks below $1.80–$1.60 (analyst warning: 40–65% downside if support fails) Funding rate (0.000018) is neutral, not signaling extreme leverage or reversal Long positioning dominates (12,450 long vs. 1,849 short accounts), suggesting consensus bullish bias --- Risk Management Checklist ✅ Monitor $1.88 support: If broken decisively, reassess to neutral/short Watch $2.00 resistance: Breakout confirmation required for aggressive upside Track news flow: SEC lawsuit updates or regulatory headwinds could reverse thesis Position sizing: Given volatility (ATR 0.0233 on 1h), limit risk to 1–2% of account per trade Manage leverage: Avoid over-leveraging; XRP futures can gap on news --- Verdict Go long at support ($1.88–$1.89) targeting $1.95–$2.00 with tight stops. If price breaks above $2.00 on volume, scale into aggressive upside toward $2.40–$2.73. Short only if $1.80–$1.60 support breaks decisively—until then, the technical and institutional backdrop favors buyers. Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Manage your positions carefully and use appropriate risk management tools including stop losses. Conduct your own due diligence before trading.

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Despite the recent crash that saw the XRP price fall below $2, many analysts claim that the cryptocurrency could still skyrocket to $100 by the end of the year. However, one expert has thoroughly dismissed these projections, urging investors to temper expectations and warning that those who believe such predictions need a “reality check.” Why XRP Can Never Reach $100 By Year’s End Crypto market expert Zach Humphries has delivered a detailed assessment of XRP, calling out extreme price predictions and overly optimistic expectations, especially during the current downtrend. In a video on X, he warns that claims suggesting XRP will reach $100 by the end of 2025 are unrealistic and potentially misleading for investors and traders. Related Reading Crypto Analyst Predicts How Low The XRP Price Will Go Before Bouncing 20 hours ago Humphries emphasized that while he supports XRP and believes in its long-term potential, the spread of exaggerated price targets in the crypto space is harmful. He explained that many investors assume that owning 100 XRP tokens will make them wealthy quickly, holding on to false hope and unrealistic financial expectations. The analyst points out the need for realism in the crypto space, arguing that viral hype posts and overinflated price forecasts can hoodwink people into making genuine financial decisions that could lead to losses. He noted that investors need to understand market structure and the underlying math behind XRP’s price action before believing in any extreme predictions. Humphries stated a $100 XRP price would imply a $5 trillion market capitalization, surpassing the size of Apple, Microsoft, and even the entire crypto market at some historical peaks. He noted that reaching this seemingly impractical price target would require XRP achieving overnight global adoption, full-scale replacement of existing payment rails, and massive sustained institutional inflows. The analyst also highlighted a common misunderstanding about liquidity. Humphries explained that for XRP to reach $100, it would require substantial global liquidity. He noted that despite XRP Spot ETFs recording over $1 billion in inflows recently, the cryptocurrency’s price did not rise; instead, it declined further. He highlighted that this is because institutional investors prioritize stability, deep liquidity, and predictability over volatile, high-risk payment assets. Although his statements may seem like a critique of XRP’s outlook, Humphries emphasized that the cryptocurrency has genuine strengths, including robust cross-border payment capabilities, strong enterprise relationships, and liquidity. He pointed out that, ironically, the more XRP succeeds as a payment rail, the less explosive its price becomes. Analyst Says XRP Could Still Outperform Many Assets In his video, Humphries stated that XRP has survived many market cycles, making it one of the rare resilient cryptocurrencies. Under the right conditions, he believes that the XRP price could outperform many digital assets, which is why it remains a top altcoin in his portfolio. Related Reading XRP Price To Reach $27: The Technical Formation That Paints 1,300% Surge 3 days ago The analyst emphasized the importance of realistic growth driven by gradual institutional adoption, ETF integration, regulatory clarity, and steady price increases tied to actual usage and utility. He highlighted that these factors could help XRP perform very well, potentially reaching new all-time highs. XRP trading at $1.88 on the 1D chart | Source: XRPUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

The following article is adapted from The Block’s newsletter,The Daily, which comes out on weekday afternoons. Happy Tuesday! Crypto markets are struggling to gain traction, with analysts saying renewed macro jitters, thin year-end liquidity, and a rapid shift into risk-off positioning are driving traders toward safer assets. In today's newsletter, Bitwise predicts new bitcoin all-time highs in 2026, Ark Invest buys the dip, spot XRP ETFs surpass $1 billion in cumulative inflows, and more. Meanwhile, SEC Chair Paul Atkins warns crypto could become a "powerful financial surveillance" tool, but sees a path forward without giving up privacy. P.S. Don't forget to check out The Funding, a biweekly rundown of crypto VC trends. It's a great read — and just like The Daily, it's free to subscribe! Bitwise CIO says bitcoin will break 4-year cycle and set new all-time highs in 2026 Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan predicted bitcoin will break its historical four-year cycle and set new all-time highs in 2026 as structural market forces weaken past patterns. Hougan argued that diminishing halving impacts, falling interest rate expectations, and fewer leverage-driven blowups remove key drivers of previous boom-and-bust cycles. He also expects institutional adoption to accelerate as major wealth platforms and Wall Street firms expand allocations under a more supportive U.S. regulatory backdrop. Additionally, Hougan said bitcoin volatility will continue to decline in 2026, noting it was less volatile than Nvidia stock throughout 2025 as traditional vehicles like ETFs broaden the investor base. He also forecasts lower correlation between bitcoin and equities overall, with crypto-specific catalysts supporting prices even if stock markets face pressure from valuation concerns and slower economic growth. Taken together, Hougan said the outlook points to a rare trifecta of strong returns, lower volatility, and falling correlations that could attract tens of billions of dollars in new institutional investment. Cathie Wood's Ark Invest buys the dip on BitMine, Coinbase and Circle shares Ark Invest bought the dip across multiple crypto-linked equities, deploying millions of dollars into BitMine, Coinbase, Circle, Block, and Bullish during a broad market selloff on Monday. The Cathie Wood-led firm added roughly $17 million worth of BitMine shares, $16.3 million of Coinbase shares, and $10.8 million of Circle shares across its ARKK, ARKW, and ARKF funds. The purchased stocks fell sharply on the day, with BitMine dropping 11.2%, while Circle and Coinbase slipped 9.6% and 6.4%, respectively. The firm's latest rebalancing follows Wood's recent comments that deflationary forces from technological innovation are building, potentially setting up a macro shift next year. Japan's SBI Holdings to launch yen-pegged stablecoin with Startale Tokyo-listed financial conglomerate SBI Holdings is partnering with blockchain firm Startale Group to launch a fully regulated, yen-pegged stablecoin aimed at global settlement and institutional use in Q2 2026. The project combines SBI's financial infrastructure with Startale's web3 expertise, including its role in the Sony-backed Ethereum Layer 2 network Soneium. "The transition to a 'token economy' is now an irreversible societal trend," SBI Chairman and President Yoshitaka Kitao said. "By circulating it both domestically and globally, we aim to dramatically accelerate the movement toward providing digital financial services that are fully integrated with traditional finance." The yen stablecoin will complement Startale's existing USDSC and support the pair's planned 24/7 tokenized stock exchange as Japan accelerates adoption of regulated stablecoins. RedotPay raises $107 million Series B to expand stablecoin payments platform RedotPay raised $107 million in an "oversubscribed" Series B led by Goodwater Capital, with participation from Pantera Capital, Blockchain Capital, and Circle Ventures, among others. The stablecoin payments fintech reports more than $10 billion in annualized payment volume and over $150 million in annualized revenue while operating profitably. RedotPay said it now serves more than 6 million users across 100-plus markets, adding over 3 million new users in 2025 as both crypto-native and non-crypto cross-border transfer adoption accelerated. The company plans to deploy the fresh capital toward product development, compliance and licensing expansion, and strategic acquisitions to scale its global payments infrastructure. Spot XRP ETFs surpass $1 billion in cumulative inflows since November launch U.S. pure spot XRP ETFs have officially crossed $1 billion in cumulative net inflows, just over a month since their November launch. The spot XRP ETFs added another $10.9 million on Monday to reach the milestone, with funds from Canary Capital, Grayscale, and Franklin Templeton all reporting net inflows, according to SoSoValue data. "Spot XRP ETFs surpassing $1B in cumulative inflows shows rising institutional appetite for regulated exposure beyond BTC and ETH," Kronos Research CIO Vincent Liu said. "Despite a cautious macro backdrop, the steady inflows suggest investors are positioning early around assets with improving regulatory clarity and differentiated narratives." In the next 24 hours UK and Eurozone CPI inflation numbers are released at 2 a.m. ET on Wednesday. U.S. mortgage data follow at 7 a.m. U.S. FOMC members John Williams and Raphael Bostic will speak at 9:05 a.m. and 12:30 p.m., respectively. ApeCoin and ZKsync are among the crypto projects set for token unlocks. Never miss a beat with The Block'sdaily digestof the most influential events happening across the digital assetecosystem. Disclaimer: This article was produced with the assistance of OpenAI’s ChatGPT and reviewed and edited by our editorial team. Disclaimer: The Block is an independent media outlet that delivers news, research, and data. As of November 2023, Foresight Ventures is a majority investor of The Block. Foresight Ventures invests in other companies in the crypto space. Crypto exchange Bitget is an anchor LP for Foresight Ventures. The Block continues to operate independently to deliver objective, impactful, and timely information about the crypto industry. Here are our current financial disclosures. © 2025 The Block. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.