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Prominent investment management firm VanEck has officiallybowed out of the forecasting game for 2026. In a tweet posted early this morning, the firm set up a classic "thread hook." It promised 10 predictions only to deliver the following punchline: "No predictions for 2026. Good luck out there!" Expectations vs. reality VanEck’s outlook for 2025 was defined by aggressive bullishness. They anticipated a "super-cycle" that would culminate in massive Q4 highs. As we sit here in mid-December 2025, the gap between those forecasts and the charts is undeniable. The firm predicted that Bitcoin would reach $180,000 during the cycle's apex in 2025. Bitcoin did see strength earlier in the year, but it has spent the dreaded "Q4 rally" period correcting. Trading currently near $86,000, BTC is essentially at less than half the target value. VanEck's predictions for Ethereum ($6,000) and Solana ($500) relied on a massive influx of institutional capital and dApp usage that simply did not scale as projected. Ethereum is struggling to hold the $3,000 line, nowhere near the $6K doubling predicted. Solana is trading closer to $130. Perhaps the biggest miss was the timing. VanEck explicitly called for a "medium-term peak in Q1" (which arguably happened) followed by "new highs in Q4." Instead, Q4, 2025, has brought a massive correction. Hence, it is not surprising that VanEck is refusing to make new predictions. Issuing another set of uber-bullish targets would likely damage their credibility more.

The Kingdom of Bhutan announced the world’s largest Bitcoin BTC $86 513 24h volatility: 0.4% Market cap: $1.73 T Vol. 24h: $44.30 B pledge to support its new economic zone called the Gelephu Mindfulness City. The South Asian country, with a population of just under 800,000, pledged up to 10,000 BTC, valued at $1 billion, to develop its new economic hub, according to an official press release on Dec. 17. --> Bhutan’s King Jigme Khesar Namgyel Wangchuck added that “every Bhutanese is a custodian, stakeholder, and beneficiary of GMC.” Notably, the country sold 512 BTC in mid-July as Bitcoin broke above $120,000. This time, however, the country plans to accumulate Bitcoin for the long-term instead of selling the assets and will explore collateralization and yield strategies to preserve value. According to the announcement, GMC aims to create jobs, economic growth and shared benefits for all Bhutanese citizens. The move builds on Bhutan’s existing green Bitcoin mining strategy powered by hydropower and long-term digital asset integration. Why Bhutan’s Bitcoin Pledge Is Important? Bhutan’s 10,000 BTC pledge is one of the largest sovereign Bitcoin commitments ever made for economic development. The country basically couples Gross National Happiness values focused on holistic well-being beyond economic growth, with modern digital finance, aiming for mindful prosperity. In addition, Bhutan is not a new player in the cryptocurrency space. The South Asian country currently holds 5,984 BTC, worth over $520 million, according to data from Arkham. The kingdom accumulated Bitcoin as a sovereign miner since 2019, using hydropower. Bhutan has also announced plans to tokenize its physical gold reserves on the Solana blockchain with the launch of TER, a crypto asset backed by its physical gold reserves. On Monday, Dec. 15, the country signed a Memorandum of Understanding with Cumberland DRW to support the management of its GMC Bitcoin reserves. next Wahid has been analyzing and reporting on the latest trends in the decentralized ecosystem since 2019. He has over 4,000 articles to his name and his work has been featured on some of the leading outlets including Yahoo Finance, Investing.com, Cointelegraph, and Benzinga. Other than reporting, Wahid likes to connect the dots between DeFi and macro on his newsletter, On-chain Monk. Wahid Pessarlay on X Share:

Bitcoin spot ETFs lost $277 million in net outflows Ethereum ETFs saw $224 million in outflows over four days Solana spot ETFs recorded a $3.64 million net inflow The crypto ETF market faced a challenging day on December 16 (ET), as both Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs experienced significant net outflows. Bitcoin spot ETFs led the losses with a net outflow of $277 million, signaling a cautious shift among investors. Among the major funds, Fidelity’s FBTC stood out as the only one to record a net inflow, suggesting a degree of investor confidence in Fidelity’s product despite the broader market selloff. Ethereum didn’t fare much better. Spot ETFs tracking Ethereum saw a total net outflow of $224 million, marking the fourth consecutive day of negative flows. This continued pressure could be tied to ongoing regulatory uncertainty or simply profit-taking after recent gains. Solana Spot ETFs Defy the Trend While Bitcoin and Ethereum saw capital flight, Solana was a rare bright spot. Its spot ETFs registered a net inflow of $3.64 million, a modest but notable figure considering the negative trend in larger crypto ETFs. Solana’s recent positive momentum and growing DeFi activity may be fueling investor interest. As traditional players begin to explore altcoins beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum, Solana could benefit from its efficient blockchain and expanding ecosystem. December 16 (ET), Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net outflow of $277 million, with only Fidelity's FBTC experiencing a net inflow. Ethereum spot ETFs had a total net outflow of $224 million, marking a four-day streak of outflows. Solana spot ETFs saw a net inflow of $3.64 million.… pic.twitter.com/j7nvrX3NsY— Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) December 17, 2025 Investor Sentiment Remains Mixed Overall, the ETF flow data reflects a mixed sentiment in the crypto market. While some investors are retreating from major assets, others appear to be rotating capital into newer opportunities like Solana. The coming days will be crucial in understanding whether this is a temporary shift or part of a larger trend in digital asset investing. Read Also : Bitcoin Ethereum Spot ETFs See Heavy Outflows JZXN in Discussions to Acquire $1B in Tokens from AI Trading Firm at a Discount SaucerSwap Unveils Redesigned Platform and New Brand Identity for Hedera DeFi Shiba Inu Price Prediction 2025: SHIB Faces Drama As DeepSnitch AI Crosses $800K XRP Price Prediction Is Bullish as Social Media Sentiment Shifts, but DeepSnitch Presale Could Hit 100x Next Year Disclaimer: The content on CoinoMedia is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry risks, and readers should conduct their own research before making any decisions. CoinoMedia is not responsible for any losses or actions taken based on the information provided. Tags Bitcoin crypto ETFs Ethereum

In brief Bitwise is predicting a new Bitcoin all-time high in 2026 and the end of the four-year cycle. The firm cited a weakening impact of the halving, the expectation of rate cuts, and a reduced risk of major blow-ups. The firm also thinks Solana and Ethereum can make new all-time highs, on the condition that the CLARITY Act is passed into law. Decrypt’s Art, Fashion, and Entertainment Hub. Discover SCENE Crypto investment firm and index fund manager Bitwise thinks Bitcoin will hit new all-time highs again in 2026, even after falling into a rut over the last two months. The firm is predicting that the leading crypto asset will buck the trend of previous four-year cycles thanks to the diminishing strength of previous cycle indicators, and burst through to a new high mark above $126,080—its current all-time high set in early October. “Bitcoin has historically moved in a four-year cycle, with three significant ‘up’ years followed by a sharp pullback year. According to this cycle, 2026 should be a pullback year,” Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan wrote. amp;lt;span data-mce-type="bookmark" style="display:inline-block;width:0px;overflow:hidden;line-height:0" class="mce_SELRES_start"amp;gt;amp;lt;/spanamp;gt; “We don’t see that happening,” he continued. “In our view, the forces that previously drove four-year cycles—the Bitcoin halving, interest rate cycles, and crypto’s leverage-fueled booms and busts—are significantly weaker than they’ve been in past cycles.” Hougan also noted the continuing momentum of institutional capital that has been entering crypto since the approval of Bitcoin ETFs and regulatory tailwinds as reasons BTC is set to find new highs. “We expect the combination of these factors will push Bitcoin to new all-time highs, relegating the four-year cycle to history’s dustbin,” he added. BTC was recently changing hands at $87,800, up 2% over the last 24 hours but down more than 30% from its all-time high mark. Despite its swing to new highs in 2025, over the course of the last year, the largest crypto asset by market cap is actually down nearly 18% according to data from CoinGecko. Meanwhile, traditional equity indices like the Nasdaq and SP 500 are up 14.5% and 12%, respectively, over the same time period. Bitwise expects that correlation to deviate further in 2026 as well, once more citing regulatory progress and institutional adoption as reasons that Bitcoin’s correlation to the stock market will fall. The firm also predicted that Bitcoin, a historically volatile asset, will be less volatile than leading AI stock, Nvidia—the world’s largest publicly traded company by market cap. Combining those predictions with the end of the four-year cycle gives investors the “trifecta” of strong returns, less volatility, and lower correlations, in Bitwise’s view. Other notable predictions from the firm’s 2026 outlook include crypto equities outperforming tech stocks, half of Ivy League endowments making crypto investments, and new highs for Ethereum and Solana as well—but only if the CLARITY Act passes. The firm expects the pair of layer-1 blockchains to benefit most from tokenization and stablecoins, crypto functions it calls “megatrends” that would be further solidified if the U.S. CLARITY Act, sometimes called the market structure bill, provides clear guidance on crypto regulation.