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RT @CryptoKaleo: #Bitcoin / $BTC Bottom is in. Any days slightly red like today are a gift. The real fun starts when we see a clear brea…

Bitcoin breaks below $115,000, buoyed by steady ETF inflows and growing optimism ahead of the Fed's interest rate decision. Ethereum shows short-term weakness, sliding below $4,600 amid potential profit-taking. XRP pulls back to test a descending trendline support, reflecting growing volatility in the broader crypto market. Bitcoin (BTC) pauses last week's steady uptrend, declining below $115,000 on Monday. The pullback in the price of BTC is sending subtle shockwaves across the cryptocurrency market, with Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) front-running the correction in altcoins. Data spotlight: Bitcoin regains institutional interest Institutional interest in Bitcoin (BTC) has stabilized over the past week, with spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) in the United States (US) experiencing steady inflows. According to SoSoValue data, BTC ETFs saw $2.34 billion in inflows last week, bringing the cumulative total inflow volume to $56.83 billion. Total net assets currently average at approximately $153 billion. As for Ethereum, spot ETFs in the US gained momentum last week, with approximately $638 million flowing in, as shown in the chart below. Ethereum ETFs boast a cumulative total net inflow volume of slightly above $13 billion and total net assets of $30 billion. As for XRP, retail demand for the token remains relatively high with the futures Open Interest (OI) averaging $8.7 billion on Monday. Due to the ongoing correction and traders' repositioning, the OI, which refers to the notional value of outstanding futures contracts, is down slightly from $8.95 billion recorded on Sunday. Following the significant gains of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP last week, traders appear to be taking profits and repositioning themselves ahead of the highly anticipated US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday is expected to cut interest rates – a move that would match general market expectations. There is a 94.2% chance that the Fed will cut rates by a 0.25 percentage point to a range of 4.00% to 4.25%, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. The rest of the market expects a 0.50 percentage point cut. Currently, interest rates in the US range between 4.25% and 4.50%. Lower interest rates are expected to increase interest in riskier assets, such as equities and cryptocurrencies. Therefore, a rate cut could launch the crypto market into a bullish fourth quarter. Chart of the day: Bitcoin trims gains as volatility spikes Bitcoin price holds below $115,000 at the time of writing on Monday, marking a cooldown from last week's steady uptrend above the $116,000 level. Short-term technical analysis suggests that choppy market conditions will continue ahead of the Fed interest rate decision. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) declining to 55 on the daily chart highlights easing bullish momentum. However, an upturn toward overbought territory would confirm Bitcoin's bullish potential for a breakout above the $120,000 level. At the same time, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator suggests that bulls still have the upper hand. With the blue MACD line remaining above the signal line, bullish momentum is likely to gain traction in the coming days. Still, if profit-taking continues, triggering volatility, traders would look toward the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $113,423 and the 100-day EMA at $111,293 for potential support. Altcoins update: Ethereum, XRP ease gains Ethereum holds slightly above $4,500 amid a spike in volatility in the broader cryptocurrency market on Monday. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 55 backs the pullback as it declines toward the midline. Despite the short-term bearish outlook, traders should temper their bearish expectations, considering the MACD indicator maintains a bullish outlook with the blue line above the red signal line. If the situation worsens and supply outstrips demand, it would be prudent to shift focus to the 50-day EMA at $4,187 as the next tentative support level. As for XRP, the current correction from last week's peak of $3.186 is testing a key descending trendline that has become support. The decline in the RSI, which is holding at 50 after peaking at 60 on Saturday, shows a reduction in bullish momentum. If the decline extends further below the midline, the path of least resistance could remain downward, increasing the chances of the XRP price trading below the 50-day EMA at $2.94. The 100-day EMA at $2.813 and the 200-day EMA at $2.565 are positioned to absorb the potential selling pressure in case investors aggressively reduce their exposure. $BTC $ETH $XRP

Key Takeaways - The crypto market cap (TOTALCAP) reached its highest-ever weekly close last week. - Bitcoin’s Dominance (BTCD) has completed a long-term A-B-C corrective structure. - The altcoin market cap (ALTCAP) reached a new all-time high on Sept. 13. The crypto market just saw one of its strongest weekly closes ever, fueling both excitement and questions about the next move. Despite today’s pullback, several charts suggest the bigger trend is still intact. Let’s break down why the downward movement happened and how long it will continue. Why Is the Crypto Market Down? The crypto market cap created its highest-ever weekly close last week at $3.98 trillion. While this was the highest weekly close, it is not an all-time high, since that was reached with a wick high of $4.17 trillion in August. Despite failing to reach a new all-time high, the bounce at the $3.60 trillion horizontal support area (green icon) is a highly positive sign. The bounce also confirmed the support trend line of an ascending parallel channel, creating a strong support base for the TOTALCAP. TOTALCAP Weekly Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView According to the wave count, the crypto market is in the fifth and final wave of its upward movement that can end at a new all-time high of $4.5 trillion, reaching the channel’s resistance trend line. So, despite today’s short-term decline, the long-term trend for the crypto market remains bullish. Bitcoin Dominance Surges The surge in the Bitcoin Dominance Rate (BTCD) during today’s crypto market crash is an interesting development. Bitcoin’s dominance fell by 13% since June, hitting a low of 57.17% on Sept. 13. While the decline has been substantial, it may be close to ending. This is because the BTCD has completed an A-B-C correction, in which waves A and C (black) had the same length. BTCD Daily Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView The sub-wave count (red) confirms this, showing a completed five-wave decline with a fourth wave triangle. Hence, the likely future option is an increase toward the 60.55% resistance. Whether this occurs because of a Bitcoin price increase or crash remains to be seen. Altcoins Maintain Structure The altcoin market cap hit a new all-time high price of $1.16 trillion on Sept. 13 but has fallen since. Like the crypto market, the ALTCAP is retesting the $1.10 trillion horizontal area to validate it as support. This is a common movement after the breakout, and if successful, will confirm that the trend is bullish. ALTCAP Daily Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView The Altcoin market cap is also in its fifth and final wave, which can end at an all-time high of $1.32 trillion. If the ALTCAP maintains its bullish structure above $1.10 trillion, it will confirm today’s decline. Short-Term Dip In short, while today’s drop may feel concerning, the technical structure across Bitcoin, altcoins, and the total market cap remains bullish. Because of the Bitcoin Dominance chart, the BTC price will likely perform better than altcoins for the foreseeable future. TOTALCAP and ALTCAP are positioned for potential new highs if support is strong. As long as these key levels stay intact, the long-term trend for crypto looks promising.

Q/USDT Surges +37%: Retail Frenzy Meets Whale Distribution – Sustainable Rally or Trap in Disguise? The cryptocurrency market thrives on moments of frenzy, and the recent +37% surge in Q/USDT has put the spotlight firmly back on this mid-cap token. The rally was swift, sharp, and emotional, catching the attention of retail traders hungry for quick gains. Yet beneath the surface of this breakout, another story unfolds—one of whales quietly offloading positions while retail buyers rushed in. This divergence between participation and distribution raises a pressing question: Is Q’s current move a genuine trend reversal or simply a cleverly orchestrated bull trap? 🚀 The Breakout Setup: Retail Power Ignites the Chart The rally began with a strong impulsive leg upward, smashing through resistance levels that had capped Q/USDT for weeks. Once the $0.010 zone was breached, momentum accelerated as retail traders piled in, amplified by social chatter and rising FOMO. On the 1-hour chart, price action established a clear bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows, while short-term EMAs provided a launchpad for continuation. Volume confirmed the move—spiking nearly 150% above its 7-day average. This indicated genuine participation, not just an isolated pump. Market sentiment shifted rapidly, with buyers convinced that Q’s breakout could be the start of a sustainable mid-term bull cycle. 🐋 Whale Behavior: Quiet Distribution Behind the Scenes While retail enthusiasm drove headlines, on-chain data painted a different picture. Large holders—wallets controlling between 1M and 5M Q—were observed gradually reducing their positions during the rally. This kind of distribution typically signals that whales are using retail-driven momentum as liquidity to exit. Rather than aggressively dumping and crashing the market, whales strategically sold into strength, keeping price elevated while lightening their exposure. This behavior is often a precursor to increased volatility, as markets that rely too heavily on retail participation tend to be fragile once buying pressure fades. ⚖️ Fundamental Context: Beyond the Hype Q’s recent surge isn’t occurring in a vacuum. The project has been steadily building recognition for its utility in cross-chain settlement solutions, aiming to provide low-latency transaction finality for emerging DeFi platforms. However, its fundamentals haven’t shifted dramatically in the past week to justify such an explosive move. This disconnect suggests that the rally is more sentiment-driven than fundamentally anchored. While strong narratives can sustain bullish cycles in crypto, without underlying adoption or fresh ecosystem growth, rallies often run out of steam quickly. 🔎 Key Technical Zones to Watch Immediate Support: $0.0092 – $0.0095 (recent breakout retest level) Short-Term Resistance: $0.0128 – $0.0134 (supply zone where rejection wicks formed) Critical Support: $0.0080 – $0.0085 (demand cluster that sparked the rally) If Q/USDT holds above $0.0092 and buyers defend higher lows, the breakout structure remains valid. But a failure to protect this level could invite aggressive selling, confirming the “bull trap” thesis. 🎯 Outlook: Cautious Optimism or Imminent Reversal? The truth likely lies in the balance. On one hand, retail-driven momentum could push Q into another explosive leg if sentiment remains hot and resistance cracks. On the other, the silent exit of whales is a red flag, hinting that the current rally may lack strong long-term backing. For traders, this is a textbook scenario where discipline matters: Scalpers may thrive on intraday volatility. Swing traders must watch for confirmation at support before entering. Long-term investors should be wary of chasing euphoria without fresh fundamental catalysts. In crypto, the line between a genuine breakout and a bull trap is razor thin. With Q/USDT, both possibilities remain alive—and only time will reveal which side wins the battle.$Q