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Fundstrat projects Bitcoin correction in 2026. Volatility affects Ethereum and altcoins in the short term. Declines reinforce the long-term thesis of cryptocurrencies. Recent Bitcoin volatility has reignited debates about the market's direction in 2026. While public discourse remains confident, internal analyses by Fundstrat indicate a scenario of more cautious adjustment at the beginning of next year, with the possibility of a significant price correction. Tom Lee, co-founder of the asset management firm, maintains a constructive outlook when speaking to the market, emphasizing that "This is a correction, not a collapse." This phrase summarizes the prevailing interpretation within the company, which does not see the movement as the beginning of a prolonged downturn, but as a readjustment within a maturing market. According to internal projectionsBitcoin could fall back to the $60 to $65 range in the first months of 2026. The central factor behind this expectation is the macroeconomic environment, marked by tighter liquidity, greater political uncertainty, and reduced appetite for risk assets. Related Stories Recent whales already concentrate half of the realized capital of Bitcoin. 20/12/2025 Repression in China brings down Bitcoin hashrate after cuts in Xinjiang. 18/12/2025 Another point of attention involves technical volatility. The concentrated expiration of Bitcoin and Ethereum options contracts tends to intensify price swings, amplifying short-term movements. In this context, Bitcoin usually absorbs the initial impact, serving as a barometer for the rest of the market. Caution isn't limited to the leading digital asset. Fundstrat also projects pressure on Ethereum, with prices potentially approaching the $2.000 region during the first half of 2026. Other cryptocurrencies with higher volatility, such as Solana, appear to be more sensitive should global financial conditions become even more restrictive. Despite this, the projected levels are not seen as destructive to the market. Internally, the asset manager interprets these ranges as reorganization points, where strategic positioning can improve after reduced volatility and price structure adjustments. The long-term thesis remains consistent. For Fundstrat, corrections are part of the trajectory of cyclical markets like cryptocurrencies and usually precede periods of more sustained growth. The expectation is that, after a more pressured start to the year, the second half of 2026 will present more stable conditions for a gradual recovery. Among investors, the interpretation has been pragmatic. The difference between the optimistic public tone and private caution is seen as common practice in financial institutions, balancing market confidence with risk management in a more balanced pricing environment. Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed by the author, or anyone mentioned in this article, are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment or other advice. Investing or trading cryptocurrencies carries a risk of financial loss. Tags: Bitcoin Tom Lee

Sean Farrell, Director of Crypto Strategy at Fundstrat, an investment firm led by Tom Lee, presented a cautious but long-term optimistic outlook for the cryptocurrency markets in his recently published “2026 Cryptocurrency Outlook” report. Farrell argued that a correction period, during which risks will be absorbed, could occur in the first half of 2026, creating more attractive entry levels for investors. According to Farrell, Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market in general retain strong upside potential in the long term. While supportive conditions stemming from liquidity are expected to come into play in 2026, some macroeconomic and market risks may put pressure on prices in the first and second quarters of the year. This period, he noted, could offer positioning opportunities, especially for long-term investors. Related News Founder of a Binance-Listed Altcoin Responds to the Claim That “Cryptocurrencies Are Dead” According to the baseline scenario presented in the report, there is a possibility of a significant pullback in the first half of 2026. Farrell predicted that Bitcoin could fall to the $60,000–$65,000 range, Ethereum to the $1,800–$2,000 range, and Solana to the $50–$75 levels. These levels could provide suitable buying opportunities before the expected recovery in the remainder of the year. If these predictions do not materialize, Farrell stated that he would prefer to maintain a defensive stance until clear signals of a strengthening trend are received. The report also included year-end expectations. According to Farrell, Bitcoin could reach approximately $115,000 by the end of 2026, while Ethereum has the potential to rise to $4,500. *This is not investment advice. Follow our Telegram and Twitter account now for exclusive news, analytics and on-chain data!

Amid renewed discussions in the cryptocurrency markets about the “altcoin season,” Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, has provided intriguing insights. While many investors still wonder when an altcoin rally will begin, Hayes argues that this season has been ongoing for quite some time. He emphasizes that investors often miss market opportunities because they remain fixated on past cycles. Contents The Risk of Clinging to Past Cycles The Stars of This Cycle and Opposing Views The Risk of Clinging to Past Cycles During a podcast, Hayes pointed out that the altcoin season isn’t confined to a specific date or period. According to him, there are always rising altcoins in the market, and those claiming there is no altcoin season share a common trait: the absence of appreciating assets in their portfolios. This perspective suggests a profound shift in how investors perceive the crypto markets. Arthur Hayes warns against the assumption that previous altcoin cycles will repeat exactly. Expecting previous high-performing projects and narratives to deliver the same results in new cycles can mislead investors. He contends that clinging to past experiences provides psychological comfort for investors, as they believe they know what worked before. Hayes stresses that making decisions based on past performances poses risks with the constant evolution of the crypto markets. He asserts, “This is a new season, and new things are rising,” highlighting the dangers of relying on past performances as a guide. Investors aiming for success should closely follow new trends, technologies, and diverse use cases. The Stars of This Cycle and Opposing Views Hayes identifies Hyperliquid as one of the standout narratives of the current cycle. He illustrates this by noting the project’s swift rise from a few dollars to $60, demonstrating an ongoing altcoin season. Similarly, Solana $132.93‘s resurgence from nearly $7 in 2022 to a peak of $300 this year is seen as part of an “invisible” altcoin season for those unwilling to participate. Nonetheless, not everyone in the industry shares Hayes’ views. CoinQuant CEO Maen Ftoui offers a different perspective, suggesting that capital will predominantly flow into established cryptocurrencies with ETF approvals or expectations of such support. He anticipates a more selective and regulation-focused altcoin season. Parallel to these discussions, Bitfinex analysts have also expressed their views. They believe that without the approval of ETFs encompassing assets beyond Bitcoin $90,357.50 and Ethereum $3,093.86, a broad and robust altcoin rally remains unlikely, indicating that market uncertainty could persist for a while longer. Recently, a similar debate emerged with Bitwise executives predicting 2026 as the “true year of the bull for crypto.” The Bitwise team believes the real surge will occur in the coming years due to institutional adoption and the introduction of new financial products.

Solana $SOL is pushing toward the $130 level after a strong bounce from the $120 area. The move comes as selling pressure eased and buyers stepped back in, helping price recover quickly. For now, $125–$120 remains key support, while $130–$135 is the main resistance to watch. A clean break and hold above $130 could signal more upside, but failure may lead to another range move. Overall momentum has improved, though confirmation is still needed.