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Monero (XMR) Price Performance Analysis: November 17, 2025
As of Monday, November 17, 2025, Monero (XMR) is experiencing a period of slight downturn, trading below the $400 mark and extending losses observed since Sunday. The privacy-focused cryptocurrency is down approximately 2% today. This movement follows a period of notable resilience and consistent performance over the past three months, with Monero recently pushing towards a $7.5 billion market capitalization.
Current Price and Market Snapshot
Live data indicates that Monero's price on Bitget is around $365.37 USD, reflecting a 2.57% decrease in the last 24 hours. Other sources corroborate this, showing the price around $388.4776 with a 24-hour change of 3.38%. The 24-hour trading volume stands at approximately $154.77 million USD. The highest XMR to USD price in the last 24 hours reached $374.29 USD, while the lowest was $355.61 USD.
Despite the recent dip, Monero has shown impressive gains over a longer timeframe, with a 7-day price change of +8.34% and a 30-day change of +28.26%. Its market capitalization is currently around $6.74 billion USD.
Technical Analysis and Short-Term Outlook
The technical outlook for Monero on this day appears cautious. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is flashing a bearish divergence, moving down from the overbought zone at 59, indicating waning buying pressure and a potential decline in bullish momentum. This technical signal puts the recent rally at risk, with some analysts suggesting that XMR could see further losses if it fails to hold above the $358 level, potentially extending the decline to the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $344, and then to the 100-day EMA at $324. There is also a risk of a double-top reversal pattern completing if the price continues its intraday pullback.
However, the derivatives market presents a contrasting picture of optimism. Monero's futures Open Interest (OI), representing the notional value of all outstanding futures contracts, stands at $88.83 million, close to its annual high of $97.98 million from November 10. This suggests persistent risk-on sentiment among traders and indicates strength in anticipating a potential recovery. The OI-weighted funding rate also turned positive, implying buyers are willing to hold long positions.
Factors Influencing Monero's Price
Several intrinsic and extrinsic factors contribute to Monero's price dynamics:
- Privacy Features and Demand for Anonymity: Monero's core value proposition lies in its strong privacy features, offering true anonymity by obscuring transaction details. In an era of increasing digital surveillance and data transparency, the rising demand for financial anonymity continues to drive interest and adoption for privacy coins like Monero. Geopolitical tensions also play a role, as individuals seek assets to move and protect funds outside traditional, transparent systems.
- Market Trends and Sentiment: Like all cryptocurrencies, Monero's price is influenced by broader market trends and investor sentiment. Positive news, such as technological advancements or increased adoption, can drive prices up, while negative news or regulatory crackdowns can lead to declines. The overall health of the cryptocurrency market significantly impacts Monero's performance.
- Regulatory Environment: Monero's privacy features, while a strength, also expose it to regulatory scrutiny. Some major exchanges have delisted XMR due to regulatory concerns, and certain countries have imposed restrictions. Despite this, Monero has shown resilience, with its stable network and continuous updates maintaining its significance in the privacy sector.
- Technological Advancements and Competition: Upgrades that enhance Monero's transaction speed, reduce fees, or improve privacy can positively influence its price. However, the competitive landscape with other privacy coins, or improvements in privacy features of existing cryptocurrencies, can also impact Monero's market share and price.
- Supply and Demand Dynamics: As with any asset, the fundamental economic principles of supply and demand are crucial. High demand for Monero coins tends to drive prices up, while low demand can lead to a decrease. Monero has a limited total supply, contributing to scarcity.
- Retail and Institutional Interest: Despite recent price movements, Monero retains retail interest, with privacy coins outperforming the broader market in certain periods. The sustained interest in privacy-focused assets suggests a growing segment of investors prioritizing anonymity.
Future Outlook and Predictions
While today's performance shows a slight dip, Monero has been performing consistently over the last three months, with its privacy focus serving as an important differentiator. Price predictions for November 2025 vary, with some experts anticipating an average trading value around $430.85 and a maximum peak of $464.51. Other analyses suggest a more modest average of $398.27 for November. Looking further ahead, some forecasts project Monero could reach $407.41 by the end of 2025. However, some technical indicators also suggest that Monero may experience a prolonged correction after reaching a local peak, with potential lows of $217 and $170 by the end of 2026 and 2027 respectively.
Investors and observers should continue to monitor technical indicators, overall market sentiment, regulatory developments, and the evolving demand for financial privacy to gain comprehensive insights into Monero's future price performance.
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What will the price of XMR be in 2026?
In 2026, based on a +5% annual growth rate forecast, the price of Monero(XMR) is expected to reach $436.06; based on the predicted price for this year, the cumulative return on investment of investing and holding Monero until the end of 2026 will reach +5%. For more details, check out the Monero price predictions for 2025, 2026, 2030-2050.What will the price of XMR be in 2030?
About Monero (XMR)
What Is Monero?
Launched in 2014, Monero (XMR) is the first cryptocurrency that prioritizes user privacy and fungibility. In contrast to other popular cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin or Ethereum, which can be tracked on public ledgers, Monero ensures transactions remain untraceable and private, capturing the attention of users, investors, and privacy advocates alike.
Under the pseudonym "Thankful_for_today," Monero was originally developed and later nurtured by a dedicated group of developers, adhering to principles of decentralization, community-driven development, and anonymity. While forked from the Bytecoin codebase, it underwent substantial enhancements and optimizations, establishing itself as an independent and private coin.
Resources
Whitepaper: https://github.com/monero-project/research-lab/blob/master/whitepaper/whitepaper.pdf
Official website: https://www.getmonero.org/
How Does Monero Work?
Monero's privacy features are underpinned by five key technologies:
- Ring Signatures enable transaction anonymity by combining a user's signature with others in the network, forming an indistinguishable "ring" of potential signers, effectively masking the true sender.
- Ring Confidential Transactions (RingCT) conceals transaction amounts, encrypting this information so that only the sender and receiver can access it, maintaining the confidentiality of each Monero coin's transaction history.
- Stealth Addresses adds an extra layer of privacy by generating unique, one-time addresses for each transaction, making it exceedingly difficult to link the receiver's address to their identity.
- To bolster privacy, Monero allows transactions to be conducted over the anonymous Tor and I2P networks, obscuring the origin and destination of transactions and protecting users' IP addresses and physical locations.
- Dandelion++: Monero further enhances transaction privacy with the Dandelion++ protocol. Transactions pass through a "stem" phase, shared with a single neighboring node, before probabilistically being broadcast to the entire network, making it tough for adversaries to trace the transaction's origin.
What Determines Monero's Price?
Understanding the factors that influence the current price of Monero (XMR) is crucial for both investors and traders in the cryptocurrency market. As a privacy-focused cryptocurrency, Monero's price today is determined by a variety of elements, including market demand, investor sentiment, and macroeconomic indicators.
Unique Aspects Affecting Monero Price
One unique aspect affecting Monero's value is its strong focus on privacy and anonymity. This has led to Monero's adoption for various use-cases, both legitimate and illicit, which in turn impacts its USD price. Moreover, this privacy feature has made Monero a subject of regulatory scrutiny, another factor that can affect its price.
Monero Market Cap and its Importance
Monero's market cap serves as a vital indicator of its overall market value. Calculated as the Monero price in USD multiplied by its circulating supply, the market cap provides insights into Monero's potential for growth or decline.
Technological Advancements and Monero's Price
Advancements in Monero's technology can also influence its current price. Upgrades aimed at enhancing its privacy features, as well as its mining algorithm designed to be more egalitarian compared to other cryptocurrencies, are factors often considered in Monero price analysis.
Tools for Monero Price Analysis
Monero price predictions often involve examining its price chart and historical price data. Tools like a Monero price calculator can be useful for investors who wish to convert the XMR price to their preferred currency.
Other Influential Factors
Trading volume, recent Monero price news, and the overall state of the cryptocurrency market are also significant influencers. For instance, during a 'crypto winter,' where most cryptocurrencies experience a downward trend, Monero is likely to follow suit.
Conclusion
In summary, Monero stands as a pioneer in prioritizing user privacy and fungibility within the cryptocurrency space. With its untraceable transactions and innovative technologies, it continues to be a compelling choice for users, investors, and privacy advocates alike.
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