A notable on-chain development is quietly reshaping market sentiment: wallets holding between 100 and 1,000 BTC have stopped accumulating.
Key Takeaways
- Bitcoin wallets holding 100-1,000 BTC have halted accumulation after months of steady buying.
- This same pattern appeared in 2021 – months before the market shifted into a bear cycle.
- It’s not a sell signal, but it shows large, sophisticated holders are being more cautious.
This group is rarely retail — most addresses of this size belong to funds, companies, trading firms, high-net-worth investors, or crypto-native professionals. When they move, the market usually pays attention.
Recent blockchain data shows their total balance leveling out after months of steady growth. The annual variation metric, which tracks whether their holdings are growing or shrinking over time, has also rolled over.
That shift implies that accumulation is no longer trending upward — a subtle but meaningful signal during a period where Bitcoin continues to fluctuate around recent highs.
A Warning Echoing 2021
For many analysts, the deja vu is striking. In mid-2021, the same cohort showed the same hesitation: accumulation flattened, balances trended downward on a yearly basis, and enthusiasm cooled.
Addresses holding 100 to 1,000 BTC have stopped accumulating.
And that’s something worth paying attention to.
This range tends to represent the real big players — funds, companies, and professionals — since most addresses holding over 1,000 BTC belong to exchanges.Here’s the… pic.twitter.com/15gxX9TfAv
— Joao Wedson (@joao_wedson) November 30, 2025
Months later, Bitcoin’s rally reversed and a prolonged market downturn unfolded. Analysts caution that history doesn’t always repeat — but it sometimes rhymes.
Why These Wallets Matter
While wallets holding over 1,000 BTC are typically tied to exchanges and custodians, the 100–1,000 BTC range often reflects actors making directional bets. Their behavior provides a rare window into what experienced and well-funded players expect next. Pausing accumulation doesn’t necessarily indicate pessimism, but it strongly suggests uncertainty.
Another nuance: despite the stall in buying, there has been no significant surge of outflows from this group to exchanges. That means they’re not preparing to dump into the market; they’re simply choosing not to add exposure — a sign of caution rather than capitulation.
Not a Sell Signal, But a Sentiment Shift
Analysts stressed that this pause shouldn’t be interpreted as a countdown to a crash. Bitcoin could resume its breakout if catalysts like ETF inflows, reduced volatility , institutional bids, or macro easing resurface. However, it does confirm that key market movers are waiting rather than chasing price — a scenario that historically leads to slower upside momentum.
What to Watch Next
Traders say the next phase depends on where these wallets move from here. If accumulation returns, it would signal renewed confidence and could reinforce bullish momentum. If balances begin declining, it would represent the first clear sign that large holders are reducing exposure.
For now, the market has entered a “show me” stage – and big buyers are watching rather than acting.
