Bitcoin News Update: Bitcoin's 72% Profit Rate Puts Pressure on Death Cross Bearish Predictions

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Bitcoin News Update: Bitcoin's 72% Profit Rate Puts Pressure on Death Cross Bearish Predictions

Bitget-RWA2025/11/14 18:46

By:Bitget-RWA

- Bitcoin's recent drop below $107,250 triggered "death cross" fears but analysts note it's less severe than the 2022 crash. - Bitfinex identifies mid-cycle consolidation, with 72% of BTC supply still profitable at $100,000, signaling potential stabilization. - Market resilience contrasts 2022's systemic risks, as ETF inflows and stablecoin adoption highlight evolving crypto dynamics. - Key price levels ($107,250/$100,000) will determine bearish validity, though historical false signals caution against ove

Bitcoin's latest price drop has led some to draw parallels with previous market upheavals, yet industry experts believe this downturn is milder than the crypto crash of 2022. After falling below the important $107,250 mark—which has now become a resistance level—Bitcoin (BTC) dipped to $105,000,

fueling worries about a looming "death cross" pattern

. The death cross occurs when the 50-day moving average falls beneath the 200-day moving average, a signal that has traditionally pointed to

bearish trends

. Still,

some analysts warn this pattern has been unreliable

in recent years, with misleading signals appearing in September 2023, August 2024, and April 2025.

This pullback is consistent with what many call a "mid-cycle consolidation phase,"

as noted by Bitfinex analysts

, who point out that it resembles previous turning points in 2024 and 2025. They observe that Bitcoin's 22% retreat from its record high—much like earlier corrections—indicates a brief pause rather than the onset of a long-term bear market.

Notably, 72% of BTC in circulation is still profitable

at the $100,000 level, a figure analysts interpret as a stabilizing factor.

Bitcoin News Update: Bitcoin's 72% Profit Rate Puts Pressure on Death Cross Bearish Predictions image 0

Technical analysis underscores the importance of the $107,250 threshold. If Bitcoin can hold above this level, it could reverse negative sentiment and set the stage for a rebound. On the other hand, a decisive move below $100,000 may trigger heavier selling.

Whether the death cross holds true depends on these price movements

, but its inconsistent history suggests investors should remain cautious.

Investors are also contending with significant changes in the broader market structure.

The collapsed $2 billion deal

for Coinbase to acquire stablecoin infrastructure provider BVNK—which both parties ended without explanation—illustrates the sector's unpredictability. At the same time,

stablecoins are seeing faster adoption in payments

as companies like Exodus and Transak roll out compliance-focused solutions in Latin America and the United States.

These trends underscore the increasing usefulness of stablecoins

, even as regulatory differences make international operations more complex.

Although the market is currently volatile, it is showing more resilience than during the 2022 meltdown, when Terra's failure wiped out $1 trillion from the industry. Today’s conditions, while unsettled, do not carry the same level of systemic risk,

according to analysts at Bitfinex

. While institutional interest has cooled somewhat, it remains present, with

Bitcoin

ETFs

reportedly drawing in $300 million

as investors take advantage of lower prices.

As the market works through this correction, attention is focused on whether Bitcoin can reclaim important psychological levels. A sustained move above $107,250 would indicate renewed bullish energy, while further drops could deepen this consolidation period. For now, the crypto sector appears to be holding steady, though participants remain cautious about what lies ahead.

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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