The Infinite Garden KursETH

COINOTAG News, citing Embermonitor, reports that in the last hour the ETH whale at address 0xa339—which previously entered exposure via a leveraged loan—exited a portion of its stake by selling 5,000 ETH and converting the proceeds into about 14.6 million USDC on-chain. Over an 11‑day window, the same address has shed 35,605 ETH (approximately $1.037 billion) at an average fill of about $2,914 per ETH, yielding roughly $13.14 million in realized profit. The wallet still holds 15,000 ETH valued around $43.88 million.

As 2025 draws to a close, the debate over which U.S. administration has been "better" for the crypto industry has moved beyond political slogans to hard market data. While Donald Trump’s 2025 return was hailed as the dawn of the "Pro-Crypto Presidency," the actual price performance of Bitcoin (BTC) tells a more complex story. Despite a friendly regulatory shift and the expansion of altcoin ETFs, Bitcoin is on track to end 2025 with a 5% loss, contrasting sharply with the double-and-triple-digit gains seen during the Biden administration. This paradox highlights a core market reality: while policy can lower barriers to entry, macroeconomic shocks—such as trade tariffs—and excessive leverage can still derail even the most "pro-crypto" environment. I. The Performance Gap: Biden’s Gains vs. Trump’s Volatility A direct comparison of annual returns reveals a surprising trend that defies the "hostile vs. friendly" political narrative: The Biden Era (2021–2024): Despite the "war on crypto" rhetoric, Bitcoin thrived under the Biden administration. It gained 65% in 2021, recovered from the 2022 crash with a 155% surge in 2023, and climbed another 120.7% in 2024. By the time Biden left office, the asset had matured significantly, supported by the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. The Trump Return (2025): Trump’s second term began with massive optimism, pushing BTC to an all-time high of $125,761 in October. However, these gains were eroded by a series of aggressive economic policies—specifically, 100% tariffs on China and new levies on the EU. These moves triggered a massive $20 billion wipeout of leveraged positions in October alone, leaving Bitcoin down roughly 5% year-to-date. II. Structural Progress Amidst Market Stress While price performance has been lackluster in 2025, the Trump administration has overseen significant structural maturation of the industry: ETF Proliferation: Following the departure of Gary Gensler, the SEC adopted generic listing standards, allowing for the rapid launch of ETFs for Solana (SOL), XRP, Litecoin (LTC), and HBAR. This has dramatically expanded institutional access to altcoins, with the XRP ETF seeing the strongest debut in history ($58.6M). Corporate & State Reserves: The "MicroStrategy Playbook" went mainstream in 2025, with public companies and even several U.S. states establishing Bitcoin reserve initiatives (Digital Asset Treasuries or DATs). Direct Presidential Involvement: Unprecedentedly, the Trump family became directly involved in the sector through ventures like American Bitcoin Corp and the WLFI token. While these projects helped legitimize the industry for some, they also raised concerns about market integrity and governance. III. Conclusion: Defining "Help" in a Maturing Market The answer to who "helped" crypto more depends entirely on an investor's metrics. For the Accumulator: The Biden years provided the strongest capital appreciation, turning Bitcoin from a niche speculative asset into a legitimate institutional class. For the Builder: The Trump administration has offered a more hospitable legal environment, reduced enforcement-by-litigation, and a faster path to product innovation. Final Take: As we enter 2026, the "Trump Volatility" remains the primary headwind. While the regulatory "war" is over, Bitcoin has replaced it with a new challenge: navigating a hyper-sensitive global economy defined by trade wars and high leverage. The infrastructure for a mass-adoption bull run is now in place; whether the price follows in 2026 will depend on if the administration can balance its pro-crypto stance with its broader, more disruptive economic agenda. ⚠️ Important Disclaimer This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and is based on market data, political reporting, and analyst commentary. It is not financial advice, nor should it be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security or cryptocurrency. Market performance is influenced by a multitude of factors beyond presidential policy. Readers must conduct their own comprehensive research (DYOR) and consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions.

BlockBeats News, December 27th, according to Embermonitor, in the past 1 hour, the whale 0xa339, who went long on ETH through a leveraged loan, continued to sell 5000 ETH and swapped them for 14.6 million USDC. He has sold a total of 35,605 ETH ($1.037 billion) in the past 11 days, with an average price of $2,914, realizing a profit of $13.14 million. He still holds 15,000 ETH ($43.88 million).

As 2025 reaches its final days, Ethereum (ETH) is witnessing a dramatic divergence in investor behavior, with more than 40% of its total circulating supply currently held at a loss. This "underwater" status has created a sharp rift among the network's most influential participants: while some high-profile whales are capitulating or rotating into Bitcoin Cash and DeFi, others are absorbing millions in paper losses to defend the $3,000 psychological floor. This struggle between distribution and accumulation is set to define Ethereum’s entry into 2026 amidst a backdrop of rising exchange reserves and cooling institutional demand. I. The Profitability Crash: From 75% to 59% The financial health of the Ethereum ecosystem has deteriorated rapidly throughout the final quarter of the year: Quarterly Decline: Following a steep 22.2% drop in November, Ethereum has failed to regain its footing in December. The percentage of supply held in profit has plummeted from 75% earlier this month to just 59%, marking one of the most significant shifts in holder profitability this cycle. The $3,000 Trap: Despite brief attempts to reclaim the $3,000 level, ETH has repeatedly slipped back, currently trading near $2,973. This failure to flip resistance into support has intensified the "underwater" pressure on short-term and mid-term holders. II. The Whale Schism: Capitulation vs. Conviction On-chain data highlights a fascinating split in how the market's "big money" is reacting to the current price weakness: The Sellers: High-profile figures like Erik Voorhees have been seen rotating out of ETH and into Bitcoin Cash (BCH), while Arthur Hayes has shifted capital toward high-quality DeFi names. Additionally, large transfers to Coinbase such as a $32.6 million move by a Cluster Capital partner suggest that some whales are preparing to exit to mitigate further drawdowns. The Accumulators: In contrast, some entities are doubling down. One whale (address 0x46DB) has accumulated over 41,000 ETH since early December at an average price of $3,130, currently sitting on an $8.3 million unrealized loss. Most notably, BitMine continues to hold its position despite a staggering $3.5 billion unrealized loss, betting on a long-term structural recovery. III. Conclusion and 2026 Warning Signals The short-term outlook for Ethereum is defined by a heavy supply overhead and fragile confidence. While contrarian buying among "mega-whales" provides a localized floor, the broader market metrics are flashing caution. Warning Signs: Four key indicators suggest further downside remains a possibility: rising exchange reserves, an elevated Estimated Leverage Ratio, persistent ETF outflows, and a Coinbase Premium Index that has hit a monthly low of -0.08. The Verdict: Ethereum is currently a "tug-of-war" asset. The 40% loss in supply profitability provides a setup for a potential "short squeeze" if demand returns, but the high leverage and lack of institutional premium on Coinbase suggest that the path of least resistance may remain downward in the immediate future. Final Take: As the "Santa Rally" fails to materialize for ETH, the market's focus shifts to whether the conviction of firms like BitMine can withstand a potential retest of the $2,700 support zone in early January. ⚠️ Important Disclaimer This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and is based on analyst commentary, technical patterns, and on-chain metrics. It is not financial advice, nor should it be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security or cryptocurrency. The cryptocurrency market is highly speculative, volatile, and subject to external factors. Readers must conduct their own comprehensive research (DYOR) and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.