Bitcoin News Update: Crypto Market Balances Optimism for Rate Reductions Against Concerns Over Continued Tight Monetary Policy

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Bitget-RWA2025/11/21 09:30

By:Bitget-RWA

- U.S. nonfarm payrolls data triggered crypto volatility as Bitcoin fluctuated between $87,000 and $92,000 amid Fed rate-cut uncertainty. - Fed officials' divided inflation views reduced December rate-cut odds to 33%, exacerbating $900M in crypto liquidations within 24 hours. - Bitcoin miners face cash-burning operations while projects like Bitcoin Munari (SPL) emerge as alternatives with fixed-supply models and Layer 1 infrastructure. - Market remains split between hopes for rate cuts and fears of prolong

The latest nonfarm payrolls data from the U.S. labor market has delivered mixed messages, creating waves in the cryptocurrency world.

Bitcoin

(BTC) and other digital currencies have experienced fresh volatility as uncertainty grows around the Federal Reserve's potential rate cuts

as highlighted in the report

. The September employment figures, which were published after a six-week postponement, revealed a 119,000 increase in jobs—far surpassing the predicted 50,000—while

the unemployment rate inched up to 4.4%

. This combination of robust hiring and rising joblessness has left investors divided over the economic outlook, making it harder to predict crypto’s short-term direction.

Bitcoin’s price movement has also been unclear. After briefly falling below $87,000 following the data release,

BTC

bounced back to hover near $92,000,

holding onto gains despite record ETF outflows

and widespread nervousness in the market.

The likelihood of a Fed rate cut in December has dropped

to 33%, down from over 50% earlier in the month, as policymakers remain split over inflation concerns. This ongoing uncertainty has made cryptocurrencies even more vulnerable to macroeconomic developments,

with more than $900 million in positions wiped out

within 24 hours as Bitcoin’s 2025 rally lost steam.

The timing of the jobs report—arriving after the longest government shutdown in U.S. history—has only added to the confusion. The delayed release, along with revisions to previous employment numbers, has shaken faith in the accuracy of key economic data.

Finance professor Sung Won Sohn noted

, "The labor market is definitely cooling, but we haven’t entered a recession yet." This sense of

cautious optimism

has left crypto investors uncertain,

with Bitcoin’s 27% decline

from its November high highlighting how sensitive the sector is to central bank decisions.

At the same time, the financial stability of the crypto industry is under pressure.

American Bitcoin

(ABTC), a mining company holding 4,004 BTC,

is dealing with cash-draining operations totaling $43 million

in the third quarter of 2025, reflecting similar issues faced by

Riot

(RIOT) and Marathon Digital (MARA). Meanwhile,

Cipher Mining

(CIFR) secured an additional $333 million through senior notes to expand its Texas facility, underscoring the industry’s dependence on borrowing as profit margins shrink. On the corporate side, Strategy (MSTR), the largest institutional Bitcoin holder,

posted $10 billion in net income for Q2

, using its 628,791 BTC reserve to generate a 25% return so far this year.

As the Federal Reserve’s next moves remain unclear and crypto’s ties to broader risk assets grow stronger, the industry’s durability will be put to the test. For now, Bitcoin’s sideways trading shows a market caught between hopes for lower rates and worries about continued tight monetary policy—a situation that appears far from resolved.

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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